PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x512042391097f2258C41e5bB2A9cfFE80637d51E-1773894142007

0x512042391097f2258c41e5bb2a9cffe80637d51e

Realised P&L
$1.70
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$207.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9470.954$100.69+$0.69
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.960$20.88+$0.88
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9470.947$19.99$0.01
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.6100.740$12.13+$2.13
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8700.936$10.76+$0.76
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.3170.325$10.26+$0.26
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? · No0.9300.930$10.00+$0.00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.6600.865$6.55+$1.55
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · No0.9500.905$4.76$0.24
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.037$1.14+$0.14
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? · No0.6200.630$1.02+$0.02
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No0.7500.755$1.01+$0.01
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes0.0460.046$1.00+$0.00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$1.00$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? · Yes0.6600.655$0.99$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:31US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.95$5.00
09-16 11:30US x China tariff agreement by December 31?BUY0.1129999939$1.00
09-16 11:27China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.9469999633$20.00
09-16 11:26Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.8199994588$1.00
09-16 11:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-16 11:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-16 11:24Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
09-16 11:24Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?BUY0.5$1.00
09-16 11:24Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.75$1.00
09-16 10:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$1.67
09-10 03:46Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.9$23.00
09-08 06:31McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?BUY0.9299999284$10.00
09-08 06:30Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.963$10.54
09-08 06:29Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.3168316832$10.00
09-08 06:25Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?BUY0.0459999988$1.00