0x512042391097f2258C41e5bB2A9cfFE80637d51E-1773894142007
0x512042391097f2258c41e5bb2a9cffe80637d51e
- Realised P&L
- $1.70
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $207.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.08at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$12.98at 0.795France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$6.67at 0.600Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$6.09at 0.622Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
- +$4.35at 0.191Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:31 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 11:30 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1129999939 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:27 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.9469999633 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 11:26 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.67 |
| 09-10 03:46 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $23.00 |
| 09-08 06:31 | McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999284 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 06:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $10.54 |
| 09-08 06:29 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.3168316832 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 06:25 | Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |