PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x512042391097f2258C41e5bB2A9cfFE80637d51E-1773894142007

0x512042391097f2258c41e5bb2a9cffe80637d51e

Realised P&L
$-8.11
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$197.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9470.980$103.43+$3.43
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.963$20.94+$0.94
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9470.982$20.73+$0.73
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.6100.905$14.84+$4.84
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8700.960$11.03+$1.03
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? · No0.9300.945$10.16+$0.16
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.6600.875$6.63+$1.63
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · No0.9500.946$4.98−$0.02
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes0.0460.058$1.26+$0.26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8200.835$1.02+$0.02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$0.82−$0.68
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.025$0.77−$0.23
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.023$0.42−$1.58
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.3170.002$0.05−$9.95
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:31US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.95$5.00
09-16 11:30US x China tariff agreement by December 31?BUY0.1129999939$1.00
09-16 11:27China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.9469999633$20.00
09-16 11:26Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.8199994588$1.00
09-16 11:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-16 11:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-16 11:24Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
09-16 11:24Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?BUY0.5$1.00
09-16 11:24Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.75$1.00
09-16 10:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$1.67
09-10 03:46Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.9$23.00
09-08 06:31McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?BUY0.9299999284$10.00
09-08 06:30Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.963$10.54
09-08 06:29Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.3168316832$10.00
09-08 06:25Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?BUY0.0459999988$1.00