PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x50d3b7787BE47EeFA32736626bbe301a64Ba9566-1721318086065

0x50d3b7787be47eefa32736626bbe301a64ba9566

Realised P&L
$18.26
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$178.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3240.926$57.23+$37.23
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6400.445$34.77$15.23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.115$28.75$1.25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1770.221$24.92+$4.92
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1900.245$12.89+$2.89
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1290.143$11.12+$1.12
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2000.125$6.25$3.75
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1900.055$2.89$7.11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$25.00
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$20.00
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$20.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 16:15Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1289999902$10.00
09-06 16:15Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.189999988$10.00
08-12 04:15Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.189999988$10.00
08-12 04:15Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2$10.00
08-12 04:14Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$30.00
08-12 04:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$50.00
07-19 22:33Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$117.52
07-03 00:54Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$5.00
07-03 00:53Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.04$10.00
07-03 00:51Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?SELL0.04$14.22
06-18 11:37Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?BUY0.0467380634$5.00
06-10 11:29Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?BUY0.056253777$20.00
06-10 11:27UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5$10.00
05-28 11:59Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279999989$25.00
05-28 11:58Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1039999955$20.00