0x50d3b7787BE47EeFA32736626bbe301a64Ba9566-1721318086065
0x50d3b7787be47eefa32736626bbe301a64ba9566
- Realised P&L
- $18.26
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $178.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.03at 0.174Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.23at 0.738Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$7.78at 0.720US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$4.74at 0.760Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$3.40at 0.660Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 16:15 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1289999902 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 16:15 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 04:15 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 04:15 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 04:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 08-12 04:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 22:33 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $117.52 |
| 07-03 00:54 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 00:53 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 00:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $14.22 |
| 06-18 11:37 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.0467380634 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 11:29 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.056253777 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 11:27 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 11:59 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999989 | $25.00 |
| 05-28 11:58 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1039999955 | $20.00 |