PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Roht

0x4fc19a907012ef58717ee7ceb1f89057f71aec92

Realised P&L
$36.8k
Volume
$14.87M
Markets traded
5,376
Open portfolio
$22.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,376
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8060.885$1.1k+$95.05
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5620.735$1.0k+$240.66
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.835$918.50+$137.50
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8950.987$898.17+$83.83
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.8010.840$873.05+$39.42
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9110.940$836.64+$26.17
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8610.925$832.50+$57.75
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.945$822.15+$30.45
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9110.945$812.70+$29.10
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8990.932$792.80+$27.88
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9210.945$784.96+$19.55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9640.962$778.81$2.02
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9600.973$774.11+$9.95
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.895$769.70+$12.90
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9660.975$750.37+$6.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:27Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.17$2.18
09-12 08:27Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.38$57.00
09-12 08:27Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.44$982.33
09-10 15:10Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-09-10?SELL0.26$58.71
09-10 13:18Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-09-10?SELL0.27$126.11
09-09 13:45Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.45$4.32
09-09 13:15Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.45$4.32
09-09 13:15Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.43$2.15
09-09 13:14Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.45$13.05
09-09 12:14Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.45$17.40
09-09 12:12Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.44$4.40
09-09 12:11Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.43$17.20
09-09 12:11Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.43$6.48
09-09 12:10Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.43$6.48
09-09 12:10Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.43$6.48