PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Roht

0x4fc19a907012ef58717ee7ceb1f89057f71aec92

Realised P&L
$33.6k
Volume
$14.77M
Markets traded
5,448
Open portfolio
$22.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,448
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8800.945$926.10+$63.70
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.825$907.50+$126.50
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · Yes0.8900.895$895.01+$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9640.981$892.25+$15.37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.8010.841$874.61+$40.98
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8610.955$859.50+$84.75
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9110.957$851.33+$40.85
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9000.935$832.15+$31.15
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9110.966$830.33+$46.73
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9610.982$814.64+$17.02
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9210.980$814.04+$48.64
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.945$812.70+$55.90
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9730.948$786.42−$21.16
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9600.980$779.68+$15.52
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8800.865$778.50−$13.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:35Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$873.20
11-01 04:49Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.94$1.1k
10-28 11:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.56$727.98
10-25 03:42Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?SELL0.46$109.58
10-24 16:22Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.21$33.67
10-23 17:46Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23?SELL0.58$96.28
10-22 14:53Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-10-22?SELL0.65$74.68
10-22 14:26Will Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?SELL0.2$1.00
10-22 14:26Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-10-22?SELL0.13$0.65
10-22 14:24Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?SELL0.73$4.33
10-22 14:23Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?SELL0.55$18.93
10-22 12:07Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?SELL0.47$237.26
10-22 12:07Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?SELL0.52$15.08
10-21 22:53Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.65$201.50
10-20 19:20Will Rochdale AFC win on 2026-10-20?SELL0.2607712955$84.52