PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Hiworld.

0x4f23a0976493be385412ce9a6b93841ee2c090db

Realised P&L
$-23.4k
Volume
$3.35M
Markets traded
376
Open portfolio
$24.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded376
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:43Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.77$43.12
09-15 13:43Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.199$11.19
09-13 12:15Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.94$116.64
09-11 05:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$96.19
09-11 05:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$0.81
09-11 05:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.62$3.0k
09-10 09:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$7.60
09-10 09:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.54$262.43
09-01 14:30Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?BUY0.069$6.21
09-01 14:22Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?BUY0.925$9.25
08-31 14:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?BUY0.3$3.00
08-31 14:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?BUY0.29$1.15
08-31 14:35Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?BUY0.33$1.65
08-27 03:13Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.93$7.2k
07-31 02:36Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?SELL0.939$77.00