Hiworld.
0x4f23a0976493be385412ce9a6b93841ee2c090db
- Realised P&L
- $-23.4k
- Volume
- $3.35M
- Markets traded
- 376
- Open portfolio
- $24.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded376
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.8kat 0.036Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$8.2kat 0.039Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$8.2kat 0.643US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$5.1kat 0.926Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$4.5kat 0.336Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.77 | $43.12 |
| 09-15 13:43 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.199 | $11.19 |
| 09-13 12:15 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $116.64 |
| 09-11 05:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $96.19 |
| 09-11 05:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.81 |
| 09-11 05:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.0k |
| 09-10 09:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $7.60 |
| 09-10 09:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $262.43 |
| 09-01 14:30 | Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.069 | $6.21 |
| 09-01 14:22 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.925 | $9.25 |
| 08-31 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.15 |
| 08-31 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-27 03:13 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.2k |
| 07-31 02:36 | Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | SELL | 0.939 | $77.00 |