PolyBot

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Traders

0x4e52ed5855dec528fc359825cc23e3429cca7d5f

0x4e52ed5855dec528fc359825cc23e3429cca7d5f

Realised P&L
$9.08
Volume
$521.01
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$426.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 04:29Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.88$1.87
10-14 04:29Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.869999998$39.66
10-13 22:46Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.9890386164$28.25
10-13 22:46Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.992$39.79
10-13 22:46Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.9699999992$24.01
10-13 22:45Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.9699998448$4.25
10-13 22:45Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.95$13.70
10-13 22:44Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.99$39.79
10-13 22:43Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.9864786863$27.76
10-13 22:43Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.9409999986$32.08
10-13 22:42Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.9499996968$2.82
10-13 22:42Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.9489999999$39.75
10-13 22:42Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.9489999961$5.09
10-13 22:42Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.96$22.61
10-13 22:34Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.7914427335$37.25