PolyBot

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Traders

ryansxlin95

0x4b41d83a3b4996c6f1d629a63018796a98e9652d

Realised P&L
$-389.60
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9220.960$208.12+$8.12
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9400.955$203.09+$3.08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9640.983$152.88+$2.88
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9260.968$146.33+$6.33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9330.955$143.22+$3.22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9380.955$132.40+$2.40
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No0.9480.940$128.89−$1.11
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9440.969$56.41+$1.41
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9470.977$51.58+$1.58
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9580.974$50.84+$0.83
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.968$50.28+$0.28
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9500.951$50.04+$0.04
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9400.956$40.68+$0.68
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9560.967$40.44+$0.44
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7300.905$37.19+$7.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 13:49Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?BUY0.9290430841$20.00
10-11 13:39Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?BUY0.9079999962$20.00
10-11 13:37Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9559999814$40.00
10-11 13:34NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
10-11 13:34NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999997$30.00
10-05 14:39Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.9522478625$25.00
10-05 14:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.84699996$10.00
10-05 14:38Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.9399999593$18.00
10-05 14:37Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999572$15.00
10-05 14:30Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?BUY0.8399999933$15.00
10-05 14:25Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9287647411$20.00
10-05 14:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
10-05 14:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.88$15.00
09-29 18:51Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
09-29 18:50Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.8599999983$10.00