ryansxlin95
0x4b41d83a3b4996c6f1d629a63018796a98e9652d
- Realised P&L
- $-389.60
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.90at 0.820Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
- +$37.70at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4?
- +$24.86at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$23.70at 0.692Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$23.64at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 13:49 | Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9290430841 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 13:39 | Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? | BUY | 0.9079999962 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 13:37 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999814 | $40.00 |
| 10-11 13:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 13:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-05 14:39 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9522478625 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 14:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84699996 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:38 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999593 | $18.00 |
| 10-05 14:37 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999572 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 14:30 | Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 14:25 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9287647411 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 14:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 18:51 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 18:50 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |