PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheKinginYellow

0x4ac989d73d9e8802075724a1aff23ef39201cf1a

Realised P&L
$12.7k
Volume
$2.15M
Markets traded
1,431
Open portfolio
$21.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,431
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7680.795$1.2k+$40.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8210.925$1.1k+$118.57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7880.855$982.13+$76.95
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8480.905$921.37+$58.04
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9640.981$808.91+$13.93
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.7600.840$766.89+$72.98
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No0.8320.835$646.49+$2.49
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.8580.980$587.80+$73.00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.885$560.13+$60.13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.7850.875$557.16+$57.16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6090.710$541.09+$77.09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7500.780$520.00+$20.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8900.905$508.43+$8.43
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.7030.765$459.00+$37.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.225$450.00$251.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:32Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.92$230.00
08-03 01:26 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.25$250.02
08-03 01:26 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.2504412647$166.97
08-03 01:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.79$261.56
08-02 12:12Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.973$145.94
08-02 12:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.962$192.40
08-01 00:56Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.6694644255$200.00
07-31 20:30Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?SELL0.965$451.62
07-31 14:42Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
07-30 12:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.56$158.49
07-30 00:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.56$224.00
07-29 20:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999984$150.00
07-29 17:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099718307$180.00
07-29 17:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8162609338$350.00
07-29 03:52Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.926641342$428.11