TheKinginYellow
0x4ac989d73d9e8802075724a1aff23ef39201cf1a
- Realised P&L
- $12.7k
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 1,431
- Open portfolio
- $21.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,431
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.135England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$1.8kat 0.927Iran Nuke in 2024?
- +$1.1kat 0.960Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.903Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
- +$982.82at 0.783Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:32 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $230.00 |
| 08-03 01:26 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $250.02 |
| 08-03 01:26 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.2504412647 | $166.97 |
| 08-03 01:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $261.56 |
| 08-02 12:12 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.973 | $145.94 |
| 08-02 12:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $192.40 |
| 08-01 00:56 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.6694644255 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 20:30 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.965 | $451.62 |
| 07-31 14:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 12:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $158.49 |
| 07-30 00:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $224.00 |
| 07-29 20:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999984 | $150.00 |
| 07-29 17:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099718307 | $180.00 |
| 07-29 17:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8162609338 | $350.00 |
| 07-29 03:52 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.926641342 | $428.11 |