TheKinginYellow
0x4ac989d73d9e8802075724a1aff23ef39201cf1a
- Realised P&L
- $10.0k
- Volume
- $2.24M
- Markets traded
- 1,465
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,465
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.138England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$1.8kat 0.926Iran Nuke in 2024?
- +$1.1kat 0.960Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.903Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
- +$982.82at 0.783Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:04 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $601.45 |
| 09-16 16:04 | Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | SELL | 0.916 | $21.04 |
| 09-16 16:03 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | SELL | 0.5698909091 | $47.02 |
| 09-16 16:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | SELL | 0.958 | $50.87 |
| 09-16 16:02 | Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $51.30 |
| 09-16 16:02 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $64.13 |
| 09-16 16:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $97.46 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.58 | $134.34 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $163.28 |
| 09-14 03:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999959 | $13.99 |
| 09-10 15:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 15:34 | Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | SELL | 0.9901006665 | $101.01 |
| 09-08 14:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-07 17:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | SELL | 0.9436572344 | $226.77 |
| 09-07 17:29 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $113.57 |