PolyBot

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PowerPicker

0x49e5ff724de534a9b3bdc666b3b6878de234f527

Realised P&L
$120.62
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9170.978$491.74+$30.52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8480.945$384.39+$39.40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7640.750$323.19$6.12
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9390.980$285.97+$11.97
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · No0.9030.929$172.56+$4.88
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.880$164.40+$7.40
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9230.945$159.81+$3.70
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8850.915$140.88+$4.57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.925$138.75+$2.55
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9080.966$137.59+$8.18
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · No0.9200.960$124.14+$5.20
Nick Fuentes federally charged? · No0.9600.965$120.61+$0.62
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8580.945$108.06+$9.99
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8700.925$106.38+$6.33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9170.944$104.46+$2.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:14Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.986$118.32
08-02 07:16Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.968$12.78
07-28 14:03NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$73.00
07-25 19:15NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.76$38.00
07-21 08:39Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
07-20 16:41China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$89.00
07-20 16:38China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$26.70
07-17 19:11Nick Fuentes federally charged?BUY0.96$28.79
07-16 15:26Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? BUY0.66$19.80
07-12 20:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?SELL0.765$30.60
07-10 19:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?SELL0.7912413946$35.63
07-09 10:43Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.905$63.35
07-09 10:42Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?SELL0.982$73.65
07-09 10:40Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.905$27.15
07-09 10:39Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?SELL0.983$29.49
Trader PowerPicker · PolyBot