PowerPicker
0x49e5ff724de534a9b3bdc666b3b6878de234f527
- Realised P&L
- $120.62
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.805Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$13.12at 0.583US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$11.36at 0.937Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.72at 0.905Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$8.51at 0.957Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:14 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.986 | $118.32 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.968 | $12.78 |
| 07-28 14:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 07-25 19:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 07-21 08:39 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 07-20 16:41 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 07-20 16:38 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 07-17 19:11 | Nick Fuentes federally charged? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 07-16 15:26 | Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 07-12 20:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.765 | $30.60 |
| 07-10 19:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.7912413946 | $35.63 |
| 07-09 10:43 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.905 | $63.35 |
| 07-09 10:42 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? | SELL | 0.982 | $73.65 |
| 07-09 10:40 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.905 | $27.15 |
| 07-09 10:39 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? | SELL | 0.983 | $29.49 |