PowerPicker
0x49e5ff724de534a9b3bdc666b3b6878de234f527
- Realised P&L
- $-60.12
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.03at 0.920Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$16.00at 0.804Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$13.12at 0.583US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$10.80at 0.940Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.24at 0.908Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:30 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.029 | $2.90 |
| 10-29 16:27 | Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | BUY | 0.952 | $95.19 |
| 10-29 16:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $29.11 |
| 10-29 16:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $39.68 |
| 10-23 21:49 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $64.40 |
| 10-23 21:48 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $43.77 |
| 10-23 19:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $24.40 |
| 10-23 19:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 10-23 16:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 10-23 16:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $99.75 |
| 10-23 08:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $93.15 |
| 10-23 08:19 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $24.40 |
| 10-23 08:18 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.975 | $24.38 |
| 10-23 08:17 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $16.81 |
| 10-23 08:16 | Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.8782499531 | $140.51 |