PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PowerPicker

0x49e5ff724de534a9b3bdc666b3b6878de234f527

Realised P&L
$-60.12
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9420.992$339.22+$16.97
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · No0.9430.951$337.14+$2.64
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8480.971$335.56+$42.30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.875$278.22+$27.34
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · No0.9200.915$192.15−$1.05
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · No0.9030.954$168.25+$8.95
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9230.964$163.02+$6.91
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.925$155.53+$14.22
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9380.952$153.47+$2.31
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? · No0.8780.855$136.71−$3.80
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8850.968$123.65+$10.50
Obama federally charged before 2027? · No0.9690.965$119.19−$0.53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8580.975$111.43+$13.36
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8700.961$110.46+$10.41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9170.973$107.67+$6.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:30Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.029$2.90
10-29 16:27Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.952$95.19
10-29 16:26Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.98$29.11
10-29 16:26NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.992$39.68
10-23 21:49Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.92$64.40
10-23 21:48NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$43.77
10-23 19:03NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.61$24.40
10-23 19:03NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$13.80
10-23 16:32NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.64$22.40
10-23 16:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.57$99.75
10-23 08:24NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.81$93.15
10-23 08:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.976$24.40
10-23 08:18Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?SELL0.975$24.38
10-23 08:17Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?SELL0.9$16.81
10-23 08:16Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?BUY0.8782499531$140.51