PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x490894abee4ff9cea867a9706f8348189c408a94

Realised P&L
$72.99
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$39.04

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2780.205$4.39$1.57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4110.460$4.38+$0.46
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0330.025$3.04$0.92
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3000.360$2.40+$0.40
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1370.065$1.88$2.08
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0640.057$1.78$0.21
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0310.025$1.64$0.36
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2370.178$1.51$0.49
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.1290.095$1.48$0.52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? · Yes0.2600.195$1.47$0.49
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$1.38$0.63
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3100.195$1.23$0.73
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.4100.245$1.20$0.80
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0710.040$1.11$0.89
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · Yes0.3400.175$1.01$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 16:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.92$2.12
07-16 16:16Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.144$3.28
07-02 09:41Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.8$2.00
07-02 09:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.73$3.17
07-02 09:39Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?SELL0.77$7.70
06-04 15:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.83$2.41
05-29 15:19Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL0.999$4.65
05-29 15:19US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.6$7.46
05-29 05:18Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.29$3.87
05-24 21:59US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.74$2.42
05-23 15:00Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-23 14:56AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.2369999255$2.00
05-23 14:52Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0309999845$2.00
05-23 14:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.459999885$2.00
05-23 14:51Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.0699999688$2.00