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Traders

0x490894abee4ff9cea867a9706f8348189c408a94

0x490894abee4ff9cea867a9706f8348189c408a94

Realised P&L
$96.09
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$25.82

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0330.032$3.83−$0.13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2780.175$3.75−$2.21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4110.373$3.56−$0.36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4400.305$1.36−$0.60
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0310.016$1.03−$0.97
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1370.035$1.00−$2.96
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0800.035$0.89−$1.11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? · Yes0.2600.115$0.87−$1.09
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2370.097$0.82−$1.18
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3000.115$0.77−$1.23
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3900.135$0.68−$1.28
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0700.024$0.67−$1.33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.4100.134$0.65−$1.35
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0640.018$0.58−$1.42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0710.019$0.55−$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 16:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.92$2.12
07-16 16:16Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.144$3.28
07-02 09:41Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.8$2.00
07-02 09:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.73$3.17
07-02 09:39Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?SELL0.77$7.70
06-04 15:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.83$2.41
05-29 15:19Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?SELL0.999$4.65
05-29 15:19US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.6$7.46
05-29 05:18Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.29$3.87
05-24 21:59US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.74$2.42
05-23 15:00Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-23 14:56AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.2369999255$2.00
05-23 14:52Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0309999845$2.00
05-23 14:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.459999885$2.00
05-23 14:51Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
Trader 0x490894abee4ff9cea867a9706f8348189c408a94 · PolyBot Pro