0x468f3deef1974455eb092228d292a149b60252ec
0x468f3deef1974455eb092228d292a149b60252ec
- Realised P&L
- $3.19
- Volume
- $297.12
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $11.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$3.85at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$3.15at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$3.15at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:53 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:37 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:35 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:55 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:46 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:26 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:21 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |