0x45a76FD8937D1E4Fd6704f656F86dCde10CFbfA3-1768612987635
0x45a76fd8937d1e4fd6704f656f86dcde10cfbfa3
- Realised P&L
- $-100.12
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $55.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.12at 0.024Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.33at 0.924World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell?
- +$-0.20at 0.029US strike on Colombia by January 31?
- +$-0.55at 0.041US strike on Mexico by January 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.008Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:47 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-11 03:46 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.0711319803 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 11:19 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.0289053926 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 11:19 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Texas not air? | BUY | 0.0125302815 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:18 | Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.1559332606 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 09:18 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.0157759811 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:34 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 02:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 02:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:44 | World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell? | BUY | 0.9199998068 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 01:43 | World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:42 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |