PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x456bef161d42F48E93302E43B3b254607A8ea3EF-1782834353616

0x456bef161d42f48e93302e43b3b254607a8ea3ef

Realised P&L
$-2.23
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$46.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:15Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.0335445118$19.15
09-14 13:36Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-11 06:45Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.019$2.00
09-11 06:45Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0100786234$9.00
09-11 06:43Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0073285128$1.00
09-10 04:23Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.0398469994$4.50
09-07 09:50Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0126036488$4.00
09-07 09:44Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0062698088$3.00
09-05 12:41Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0302549926$40.00
06-30 15:51Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$1.00
06-30 15:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-30 15:48Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0340356568$3.00