0x456bef161d42F48E93302E43B3b254607A8ea3EF-1782834353616
0x456bef161d42f48e93302e43b3b254607a8ea3ef
- Realised P&L
- $-2.23
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $46.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.035 | $25.07 | +$2.91 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.125 | $10.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $5.80 | −$3.19 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $2.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.018 | $1.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.003 | $0.79 | −$3.21 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:15 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.0335445118 | $19.15 |
| 09-14 13:36 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 06:45 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 06:45 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0100786234 | $9.00 |
| 09-11 06:43 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0073285128 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 04:23 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.0398469994 | $4.50 |
| 09-07 09:50 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0126036488 | $4.00 |
| 09-07 09:44 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0062698088 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 12:41 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0302549926 | $40.00 |
| 06-30 15:51 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 15:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 15:48 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0340356568 | $3.00 |