0x4243e59a514776f5178b3e63d09fee765e897e78
0x4243e59a514776f5178b3e63d09fee765e897e78
- Realised P&L
- $10.95
- Volume
- $513.20
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.835 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.805 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.745 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.780 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.651 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.425 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.055 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.247Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:42 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:27 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:43 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 23:44 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September? | BUY | 0.777 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:44 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |