0x423e68c9173a6627c51d0615a5bd22b1a9a6d872
- Realised P&L
- $-79.59
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $310.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.34at 0.810Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$16.65at 0.820Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
- +$12.27at 0.653Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$9.85at 0.670Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$9.26at 0.878Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:21 | Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 00:49 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:27 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2209999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 08:53 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $14.54 |
| 09-14 20:39 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:23 | Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | BUY | 0.065557189 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 20:47 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | BUY | 0.4752475172 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 20:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 18:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1412695416 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 15:44 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 18:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 18:21 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 09:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.82 |