0x41C9EbAbADD00795d5165c258Cf814CB7048b284-1775431110782
0x41c9ebabadd00795d5165c258cf814cb7048b284
- Realised P&L
- $-165.56
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $45.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.90at 0.510Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$2.47at 0.858JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$2.05at 0.597Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
- +$0.12at 0.890Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 19)
- +$-0.44at 0.550Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 00:51 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 04:27 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999638 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 04:26 | Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 03:40 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 03:34 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 06-03 03:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 06-03 03:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-03 03:26 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 06-03 03:19 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 03:17 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 03:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.55 |
| 04-25 04:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4089998879 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 04:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 04-20 17:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 04-20 17:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | SELL | 0.0055904 | $1.68 |