0x3f8eb73c03607704e1692b320b707285809a2ef9
0x3f8eb73c03607704e1692b320b707285809a2ef9
- Realised P&L
- $-88.42
- Volume
- $136.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $13.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.55at 0.600Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$0.42at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$-10.54at 0.712Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$-38.31at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21?
- +$-82.24at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.46 |
| 09-30 19:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.52 |
| 09-21 18:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 18:21 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 18:20 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.38 |
| 09-21 18:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 18:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 18:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 11:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.40 |
| 09-21 11:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.034 | $22.37 |
| 09-21 11:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $82.24 |
| 09-21 11:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $38.31 |
| 09-21 09:57 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $0.56 |
| 09-21 09:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.042 | $99.79 |
| 09-21 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8699999714 | $16.15 |