0x3e2
0x3e2322ddba75024fd268cff486b2009615fd8579
- Realised P&L
- $288.61
- Volume
- $73.8k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$756.00at 0.460Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
- +$341.41at 0.540Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
- +$333.15at 0.551Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
- +$319.75at 0.230Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$298.65at 0.546US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:01 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.71 |
| 10-29 19:34 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.40 |
| 10-29 15:12 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.72 |
| 10-25 13:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.15 |
| 10-25 13:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 10-25 13:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.65 |
| 10-25 13:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 10-24 11:33 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $11.02 |
| 10-23 22:25 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $108.00 |
| 10-23 16:25 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $12.79 |
| 10-22 02:03 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 10-11 15:08 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2 | $65.46 |
| 09-22 17:58 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.25 | $17.00 |
| 09-02 17:59 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.55 |
| 09-02 17:21 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |