PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3e2

0x3e2322ddba75024fd268cff486b2009615fd8579

Realised P&L
$288.61
Volume
$73.8k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5610.895$1.3k+$501.41
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4110.935$1.1k+$641.70
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.925$1.1k+$162.00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.959$983.25+$388.27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7440.966$737.05+$169.19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7110.925$683.85+$157.87
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7370.945$594.15+$130.96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6750.825$396.00+$72.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.865$346.00+$146.00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8000.981$317.84+$58.64
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.3720.140$206.86−$343.13
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.5660.815$202.15+$61.88
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.2410.260$196.30+$14.00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No0.7000.775$155.00+$15.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.6400.670$107.20+$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 23:01Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.16$6.71
10-29 19:34Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.012$2.40
10-29 15:12Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.024$0.72
10-25 13:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?BUY0.51$6.15
10-25 13:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?BUY0.59$59.00
10-25 13:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.65$13.65
10-25 13:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?BUY0.72$72.00
10-24 11:33Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?SELL0.24$11.02
10-23 22:25Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.27$108.00
10-23 16:25Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$12.79
10-22 02:03Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?BUY0.7$140.00
10-11 15:08Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.2$65.46
09-22 17:58Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.25$17.00
09-02 17:59Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.39$1.55
09-02 17:21Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$90.00