0x3daa55daf346584dbb18b559fa9fd673ec449c99-1792845998959
0x3daa55daf346584dbb18b559fa9fd673ec449c99
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.013 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $1.18 | −$0.32 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.038 | $0.81 | −$0.18 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.061 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.047 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 14:31 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0466269831 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:19 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:17 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:17 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:13 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? | BUY | 0.0749999963 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:13 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? | BUY | 0.0085293109 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:11 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.50 |