0x3d03c46d2e4594ea6fa03f7b571342d8ee249d52
0x3d03c46d2e4594ea6fa03f7b571342d8ee249d52
- Realised P&L
- $-104.19
- Volume
- $90.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,119
- Open portfolio
- $945.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,119
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.87at 0.985US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$159.69at 0.334Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
- +$127.97at 0.010Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$110.23at 0.995MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$104.65at 0.632Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:11 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 21:11 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 16:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.05 |
| 11-01 14:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.29 |
| 11-01 10:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 08:55 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 11-01 01:57 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-31 14:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.88 |
| 10-31 09:10 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-30 21:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.29 |
| 10-30 21:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.93 |
| 10-30 19:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.432 | $2.16 |
| 10-30 18:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.01 |
| 10-30 18:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.16 |
| 10-30 17:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.03 |