anon-ch
0x3a8ec368ff78ab6fb3e61b26b8b307158f854d0b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.64
- Volume
- $387.32
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $44.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.49at 0.150Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$4.68at 0.522Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$1.53at 0.394Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
- +$1.45at 0.580Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:25 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 14:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 21:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.7761193659 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 19:59 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 17:28 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.0291276487 | $1.14 |
| 09-21 17:27 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.9659998949 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 16:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 12:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 12:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9299999284 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 11:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 20:29 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 20:29 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |