wheelingmatt
0x396665c13f6ae03bbcaaf710d2364071152bbe5f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $93.7k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.44at 0.708Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
- +$116.99at 0.820Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
- +$83.25at 0.949Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$71.05at 0.950Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
- +$67.46at 0.352Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.1197548 | $23.95 |
| 09-12 01:06 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.28 | $112.00 |
| 09-08 17:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.53 | $318.00 |
| 09-04 02:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $127.99 |
| 09-04 00:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $224.00 |
| 08-28 11:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $342.57 |
| 08-24 20:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.9502365333 | $285.07 |
| 08-24 19:12 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $598.20 |
| 08-24 11:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $78.00 |
| 08-16 00:42 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 08-16 00:41 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.239 | $7.17 |
| 08-15 11:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $138.00 |
| 08-15 00:58 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.165 | $66.06 |
| 08-12 17:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.47 | $182.91 |
| 08-12 17:04 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.46 | $55.14 |