Maru.lucky.nala.lenu
0x392ae2a1fbc20cc1be679958f4a8809c8b49262d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $307.4k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$996.27at 0.682Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$740.96at 0.713Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$636.14at 0.450US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$598.63at 0.706Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$579.24at 0.666Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:33 | Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? | SELL | 0.069 | $3.31 |
| 10-30 07:25 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | BUY | 0.68 | $45.97 |
| 10-30 06:29 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $38.70 |
| 10-29 00:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.60 |
| 10-29 00:08 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $42.30 |
| 10-25 22:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.248 | $49.60 |
| 10-25 20:42 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.01986116 | $4.97 |
| 10-25 20:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.728 | $72.80 |
| 10-25 20:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.738 | $73.80 |
| 10-25 16:53 | Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-25 16:51 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5696666667 | $85.45 |
| 10-25 08:31 | Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election? | BUY | 0.66 | $11.22 |
| 10-25 08:29 | Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-25 07:58 | Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.496832 | $124.21 |
| 10-25 07:55 | Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |