Maru.lucky.nala.lenu
0x392ae2a1fbc20cc1be679958f4a8809c8b49262d
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $271.5k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$996.27at 0.682Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$740.96at 0.713Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$636.14at 0.450US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$598.63at 0.706Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$579.24at 0.666Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $174.00 |
| 09-14 07:32 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.26 |
| 09-14 07:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $5.07 |
| 09-14 06:20 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.42 |
| 09-13 00:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 09-13 00:47 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.57 | $108.30 |
| 09-12 08:57 | Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.05 |
| 09-12 08:54 | Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.90 |
| 09-12 07:59 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 09-12 07:54 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 09-11 23:21 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-11 23:20 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-11 16:18 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-11 16:14 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 09-11 16:12 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.029 | $4.46 |