0x34a9e26af9bcec22a27cbc96f55cdbb39ad74cfd
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $473.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,269
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,269
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.248Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.422Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$887.18at 0.313Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$830.63at 0.240Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
- +$649.39at 0.602US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:40 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.40 |
| 09-18 04:57 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.80 |
| 09-18 03:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $418.78 |
| 09-17 04:29 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $140.80 |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9149340866 | $38.87 |
| 09-16 18:49 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.41 |
| 09-16 18:41 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.90 |
| 09-16 16:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 16:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $23.24 |
| 09-16 14:51 | Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.62 | $5.40 |
| 09-16 12:59 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 12:59 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 12:59 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 12:59 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 12:32 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.92 |