exodusgnv
0x340ecfa0f8d50264e8bc0141abfecc25760f176d
- Realised P&L
- $-113.97
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $48.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.52at 0.742Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 17?
- +$47.24at 0.711Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 17?
- +$14.48at 0.223Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?
- +$13.27at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$13.27at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-22 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 22? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-22 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 22? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 13:58 | Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.134441367 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 07-10 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-10 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 07-09 03:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $3.42 |
| 07-09 03:04 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.159 | $4.26 |
| 07-09 03:04 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.32 |
| 07-09 03:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.322 | $5.65 |
| 07-09 03:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $11.36 |
| 07-09 03:03 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.06 |
| 07-05 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $4.53 |
| 07-05 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999554 | $3.06 |