mykvd13
0x33863665baefc07ee8affe4efdfe015e520fe288
- Realised P&L
- $231.94
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No | 0.942 | 0.992 | $318.92 | +$15.92 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.928 | 0.973 | $317.63 | +$14.63 |
| Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.879 | 0.900 | $307.12 | +$7.12 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.719 | 0.999 | $139.03 | +$39.03 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.972 | $105.42 | +$3.42 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $100.53 | +$0.53 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.865 | $98.30 | −$1.70 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.825 | $97.06 | −$2.94 |
| Megaquake by August 31? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.00 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.11at 0.770Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
- +$43.71at 0.915Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$33.23at 0.752Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?
- +$29.87at 0.770Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
- +$29.19at 0.730Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 16:45 | Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8791452949 | $300.00 |
| 10-08 18:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 18:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 18:00 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 17:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7185628725 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 11:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $110.69 |
| 07-02 11:08 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $113.86 |
| 05-05 09:37 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $604.72 |
| 05-05 09:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.975 | $311.30 |
| 04-21 08:49 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999999 | $596.05 |
| 02-09 13:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9489999998 | $303.00 |
| 02-09 13:42 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.927693828 | $303.00 |
| 02-09 13:41 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.9419999999 | $303.00 |
| 02-02 12:25 | Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | BUY | 0.919999996 | $101.00 |