PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

somewhereintime

0x31f67c3849d2891a5f0cf117b381a4baac00475b

Realised P&L
$-104.59
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$26.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.1301.000$7.69+$6.69
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1020.635$6.23+$5.23
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.4301.000$2.33+$1.33
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes0.2030.075$1.86−$3.14
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.7090.938$1.32+$0.32
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.7801.000$1.28+$0.28
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1170.021$1.05−$4.95
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.2700.190$0.70−$0.30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.025$0.47−$4.53
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0600.022$0.37−$0.63
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.004$0.34−$1.66
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · Yes0.1900.059$0.31−$0.69
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1250.019$0.31−$1.69
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.3300.100$0.30−$0.70
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0690.021$0.30−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 00:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 18?BUY0.089999919$1.00
05-18 00:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 18?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
05-17 03:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
05-17 03:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 17?BUY0.65$1.00
05-16 23:06Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 18?BUY0.27$1.35
05-16 10:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
05-16 01:49Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?BUY0.1$1.00
05-16 01:49Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
05-16 01:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-16 01:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?BUY0.4$1.00
05-16 01:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
05-13 05:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?BUY0.5383209537$1.00
05-13 00:25Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?BUY0.1$1.00
05-13 00:25Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?BUY0.0513760999$1.00
05-13 00:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?BUY0.0083798803$0.88