PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LuckyPunch99

0x316994394b3675ead48b2a8eb68daaab7b1a21b4

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$667.1k
Markets traded
398
Open portfolio
$982.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded398
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.4890.435$501.73$62.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1400.435$130.50+$88.50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.086$126.28+$52.38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$83.15$27.72
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.205$61.50+$13.50
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · Yes0.6720.790$42.55+$6.36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1990.043$12.42$45.86
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.063$9.96$10.75
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$8.25$8.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0350.021$6.38$4.26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0870.001$0.14$25.12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0640.001$0.12$15.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$4.69
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$6.25
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5 · Under0.2800.000$0.00$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.035$10.64
08-01 17:20Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: O/U 3.5SELL0.287513434$130.02
08-01 17:19Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: O/U 3.5SELL0.6549530086$296.18
08-01 12:43Bologna FC vs. SC Cambuur: O/U 3.5SELL0.344$1.54
08-01 02:02Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.99$741.01
07-31 19:45Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4895015649$564.60
07-31 19:32U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.991$2.39
07-31 19:32U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.991$0.99
07-31 19:32U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$52.96
07-31 19:32U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.99$30.41
07-31 19:30U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.97$5.19
07-31 19:16U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.398$32.83
07-31 12:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.962646001$887.54
07-30 21:57Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7676950207$341.96
07-30 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.14$2.90