LuckyPunch99
0x316994394b3675ead48b2a8eb68daaab7b1a21b4
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $730.9k
- Markets traded
- 633
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded633
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.799Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.1kat 0.553US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$948.02at 0.594Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
- +$829.37at 0.120US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$499.25at 0.080US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 19:16 | Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.12 | $17.19 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | BUY | 0.503 | $225.39 |
| 11-02 15:04 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $22.40 |
| 11-02 15:04 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.72 |
| 11-01 19:07 | Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.07 | $38.61 |
| 11-01 19:04 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.56 | $26.22 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $69.36 |
| 11-01 15:59 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $5.27 |
| 11-01 15:57 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $81.54 |
| 11-01 15:54 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $5.69 |
| 11-01 15:52 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $12.54 |
| 11-01 15:48 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $16.93 |
| 11-01 15:48 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $31.25 |
| 11-01 15:46 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 11-01 15:33 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $7.97 |