PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pirulirubeibe

0x30fcb065da3beb77c71767971f7550f4b1c5510d

Realised P&L
$-7.7k
Volume
$5.41M
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$15.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4980.555$4.4k+$458.94
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4920.553$4.2k+$467.29
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2230.385$2.6k+$1.1k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0680.016$1.6k$5.2k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · No0.8490.948$876.44+$91.01
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · No0.3600.400$400.00+$40.00
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.002$279.57$2.0k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · No0.9080.995$224.24+$19.47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.1570.043$127.50$342.49
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.001$127.00$6.1k
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3500.380$119.66+$9.30
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0090.001$108.50$1.9k
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$75.50$394.44
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0390.002$6.37$160.72
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00$68.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 01:10Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.05
09-04 01:09Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.79
09-04 01:08Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.78
09-02 18:12Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.29$40.84
09-02 16:10Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.468$10.69
09-01 20:10Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.509$101.80
09-01 20:10Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.504$133.56
09-01 20:09Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.503$30.18
09-01 20:08Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5$60.00
09-01 20:06Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.496$29.76
09-01 20:06Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.495$9.90
08-31 19:58Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.497$2.48
08-31 17:37Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.499$24.95
08-30 00:27Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.023$17.16
08-30 00:22Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.741$81.51