PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pirulirubeibe

0x30fcb065da3beb77c71767971f7550f4b1c5510d

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$5.16M
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$17.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0910.076$4.8k$913.84
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4980.345$2.8k$1.2k
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2820.635$2.1k+$1.2k
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.011$1.7k$468.47
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6090.954$1.5k+$527.94
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0090.006$1.3k$731.71
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · No0.8490.707$653.97$131.45
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.003$632.38$5.6k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · No0.9080.899$629.65$6.05
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.004$522.27+$54.76
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · No0.3600.445$445.00+$85.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.1570.049$147.00$322.99
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3500.455$143.28+$32.92
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.010$125.53$61.49
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$93.78$98.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 10:52Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$0.29
07-31 10:51Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.006$2.51
07-31 10:51Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.007$0.57
07-31 10:51Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.008$0.80
07-31 01:46Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.006$0.75
07-31 01:45Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.007$0.70
07-31 01:45Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.008$22.76
07-30 23:17Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.01$14.74
07-30 23:16Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.011$110.00
07-21 00:06Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$23.74
07-20 20:03Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.085$84.30
07-16 08:42Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.084$129.90
07-16 08:42Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.083$8.30
07-16 08:42Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.083$86.25
07-14 19:52Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$21.92