PolyBot

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Traders

EsauRambally

0x30f13b2887b0c6aed9df6ce6c83b31e20c98c0aa

Realised P&L
$-193.25
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$35.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6160.645$12.56+$0.56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6200.625$10.08+$0.08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3880.155$1.60−$2.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1020.042$1.23−$1.77
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.960$1.13+$0.13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.964$1.07+$0.07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.905$1.05+$0.05
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1700.022$0.92−$6.05
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1600.065$0.81−$1.19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4300.170$0.79−$1.21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2270.028$0.74−$5.26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1140.021$0.72−$3.28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1300.090$0.69−$0.31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4200.055$0.51−$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 03:26Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?BUY0.1$1.00
10-14 03:012026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-14 03:00Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.64$10.00
07-15 01:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
06-22 18:28Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.9679997987$1.00
06-13 00:25Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1059999912$10.00
05-08 00:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.036999963$1.00
05-08 00:16Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
04-07 12:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.5499999725$1.93
04-07 12:33Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.55$1.00
04-07 12:33Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
04-06 14:05Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?BUY0.7$1.00
04-06 14:04Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
04-06 13:55Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
04-06 13:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5499999725$2.00