EsauRambally
0x30f13b2887b0c6aed9df6ce6c83b31e20c98c0aa
- Realised P&L
- $-193.25
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $35.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.67at 0.300Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$2.88at 0.410Nothing Ever Happens: February
- +$1.78at 0.360US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.635Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$1.69at 0.748Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 03:26 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 03:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 01:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 18:28 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.9679997987 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 00:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999912 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.036999963 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 00:16 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 12:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $1.93 |
| 04-07 12:33 | Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 12:33 | Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 14:05 | Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 14:04 | Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 13:55 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 04-06 13:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |