0x2f457b81ec67e2a5a8b8748f5dc3a9ae3fd7f713
0x2f457b81ec67e2a5a8b8748f5dc3a9ae3fd7f713
- Realised P&L
- $-9.65
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $446.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.00at 0.280Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
- +$37.70at 0.123Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$23.00at 0.270Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$-0.68at 0.560Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%?
- +$-22.10at 0.840Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 13:04 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999965 | $2.19 |