pein.rikudo
0x2ef3b40b0a3ee48085b27b11cc182bf5f18ab420
- Realised P&L
- $59.66
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $613.82
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.80at 0.374Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
- +$36.38at 0.686Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
- +$29.16at 0.400Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
- +$26.73at 0.293Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
- +$26.10at 0.200Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $19.50 |
| 09-08 17:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $32.49 |
| 09-08 17:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $36.04 |
| 09-08 17:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.696 | $17.40 |
| 09-08 17:19 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.953 | $33.59 |
| 09-06 06:46 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.953 | $11.20 |
| 09-06 06:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $12.03 |
| 09-06 06:39 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $21.50 |
| 09-06 06:38 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.25 |
| 09-03 11:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.25 |
| 08-10 20:35 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $22.00 |
| 08-10 20:35 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-10 20:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 08-10 20:33 | Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | BUY | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 08-10 20:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |