PolyBot

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Traders

pein.rikudo

0x2ef3b40b0a3ee48085b27b11cc182bf5f18ab420

Realised P&L
$59.66
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$613.82

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8450.865$86.50+$2.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.835$83.50+$5.50
Maduro guilty of all counts? · No0.6200.795$79.50+$17.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7160.795$79.50+$7.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6890.695$69.49+$0.63
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.7630.888$66.57+$9.36
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No0.8120.930$61.29+$7.79
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9100.958$47.88+$2.38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8600.945$28.35+$2.55
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.1960.095$5.22$5.57
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1780.043$3.19$10.17
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.2900.395$1.98+$0.53
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.0670.011$0.86$4.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.78$19.50
09-08 17:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.69$32.49
09-08 17:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.961$36.04
09-08 17:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.696$17.40
09-08 17:19Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.953$33.59
09-06 06:46Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.953$11.20
09-06 06:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.962$12.03
09-06 06:39Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.86$21.50
09-06 06:38Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$23.25
09-03 11:00Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$23.25
08-10 20:35Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.88$22.00
08-10 20:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
08-10 20:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.84$21.00
08-10 20:33Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?BUY0.77$19.25
08-10 20:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$21.00