0x2e299d46fe9369f79834d525447e646efd9afa09
0x2e299d46fe9369f79834d525447e646efd9afa09
- Realised P&L
- $12.00
- Volume
- $428.72
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $10.70
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.70at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.37at 0.517Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
- +$3.88at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 01:46 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 08:07 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:16 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:51 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |