PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

0x2d4f9C8cC232EEbE8bCf7Cb5dC96bA8fe6e4c89F-1759572948290

0x2d4f9c8cc232eebe8bcf7cb5dc96ba8fe6e4c89f

Realised P&L
$-22.52
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$6.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3650.438$1.20+$0.20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.962$1.09+$0.09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2200.234$1.06+$0.06
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9750.998$1.02+$0.02
Xi Jinping out by June 30? · No0.9791.000$1.02+$0.02
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? · Yes0.4100.190$0.93$1.07
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? · Yes0.1790.058$0.32$0.68
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9720.147$0.15$0.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Vikings vs. Browns · Browns0.3700.000$0.00$5.00
Penguins vs. Rangers · Rangers0.6700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.0230.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.2610.000$0.00$1.98
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$1.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 05:58Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?BUY0.1789998588$1.00
03-31 13:30Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.999000001$1.00
03-31 13:29Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
03-31 13:29Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3649997719$1.00
03-25 07:09US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
03-17 14:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?BUY0.65$0.97
03-16 15:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?BUY0.2089998782$0.99
03-16 15:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?BUY0.3299997822$0.98
03-16 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?BUY0.849999915$0.99
03-15 07:24Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in March?BUY0.97$1.00
03-15 07:22Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?BUY0.9559999694$1.00
03-15 07:21Will Solana dip to $80 March 9-15?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
03-15 07:20Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.91$1.00
03-15 07:14Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?BUY0.9939992147$1.00
03-13 12:56Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?BUY0.962$1.00