0x2d4f9C8cC232EEbE8bCf7Cb5dC96bA8fe6e4c89F-1759572948290
0x2d4f9c8cc232eebe8bcf7cb5dc96ba8fe6e4c89f
- Realised P&L
- $-22.52
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $6.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.50at 0.080Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
- +$13.52at 0.270Bulls vs. Cavaliers
- +$11.13at 0.310Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-10-05?
- +$8.16at 0.380Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$4.26at 0.540Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 05:58 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | BUY | 0.1789998588 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 13:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 13:29 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 13:29 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3649997719 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 07:09 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 14:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17? | BUY | 0.65 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 15:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16? | BUY | 0.2089998782 | $0.99 |
| 03-16 15:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $0.98 |
| 03-16 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $0.99 |
| 03-15 07:24 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in March? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 07:22 | Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.9559999694 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 07:21 | Will Solana dip to $80 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 07:20 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 07:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9939992147 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 12:56 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.00 |