TalyxionPro
0x2b38700f4c65fae48f80640b7f4d9f3cc678a318
- Realised P&L
- $-27.06
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $584.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41at 0.346Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.40at 0.690Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
- +$1.05at 0.911Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
- +$0.88at 0.877Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.61at 0.898Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.9299999927 | $5.13 |
| 10-10 20:39 | Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.6999999911 | $7.83 |
| 10-10 01:42 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999433 | $12.85 |
| 10-10 01:42 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.79 |
| 10-09 17:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.9399999989 | $16.84 |
| 10-09 13:05 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.802 | $5.83 |
| 10-08 16:18 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.9649999961 | $3.70 |
| 10-04 02:05 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.41 |
| 10-04 02:05 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999555 | $3.65 |
| 10-03 22:51 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.94 |
| 10-03 14:05 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.58 |
| 10-03 14:04 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.90 |
| 10-03 10:33 | Capitals vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.6099999464 | $3.64 |
| 10-03 09:21 | Capitals vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.6099999743 | $6.88 |
| 10-03 07:03 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.779999947 | $9.13 |