AdjunctBias
0x27e56917c5c7c5ae7662b85cf86c289bfc39fb20
- Realised P&L
- $-14.9k
- Volume
- $226.6k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $44.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.876Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
- +$1.1kat 0.901Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
- +$376.65at 0.943Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?
- +$328.02at 0.987Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
- +$305.41at 0.939Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 22:05 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.89 |
| 07-23 09:43 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | SELL | 0.7457182616 | $34.83 |
| 06-27 00:32 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 06-18 09:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $79.20 |
| 06-18 09:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9542028305 | $132.15 |
| 06-18 09:46 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 06-18 09:46 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 06-15 00:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 06-15 00:08 | Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $297.60 |
| 06-15 00:07 | Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $198.20 |
| 06-15 00:07 | Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $16.47 |
| 06-15 00:07 | Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $792.00 |
| 06-12 02:09 | Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $16.47 |
| 06-12 01:53 | Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $16.47 |
| 06-12 01:53 | Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $198.50 |