PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TotallyNotTrump

0x24653561a16b4f12831186feabe02ba6ee338905

Realised P&L
$-86.27
Volume
$510.1k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$53.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0700.065$19.50$1.50
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2300.160$16.00$7.00
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0800.022$6.75$17.25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1040.041$4.36$6.84
Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.0350.006$1.95$8.55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1100.184$1.68+$0.68
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.030$1.33+$0.33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0550.011$0.55$2.20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0470.008$0.40$1.95
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0610.007$0.35$2.70
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0620.006$0.33$2.77
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0680.004$0.20$3.20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0900.004$0.17$4.33
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.002$0.15$1.25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.001$0.10$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 07:35Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.088$2.64
07-01 07:32Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0087672492$0.68
07-01 07:30Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$10.00
07-01 07:28Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.056832342$20.00
07-01 07:24Christian Pulisic: 2+ assistsBUY0.0690000011$5.00
07-01 07:24Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsBUY0.042999996$10.00
07-01 07:24Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsBUY0.04$10.00
07-01 07:22Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
07-01 07:21Spread: United States (-3.5)BUY0.1099999913$10.00
06-12 03:57Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.006$6.00
06-12 03:57Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.027$0.43
06-12 03:57Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.018$0.31
06-12 03:56Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0375722461$7.88
03-31 06:11Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?SELL0.0020170622$1.18
03-31 06:10Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?SELL0.0096206897$5.58