0x21a22c9e1d5E3f92D680C49aFad87f40bc055f83-1768570519514
0x21a22c9e1d5e3f92d680c49afad87f40bc055f83
- Realised P&L
- $-155.5k
- Volume
- $9.53M
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $26.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.1kat 0.211Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.3kat 0.567Spread: France (-2.5)
- +$3.8kat 0.031Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$3.7kat 0.055Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$3.4kat 0.110Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 08:39 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.88 | $152.28 |
| 10-25 08:39 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.07 | $36.24 |
| 10-25 08:29 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1688212631 | $308.26 |
| 10-24 11:09 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.9k |
| 10-24 11:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.26 | $12.6k |
| 10-24 11:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.25 | $627.20 |
| 10-24 11:03 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.168 | $31.43 |
| 08-04 21:10 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.541 | $7.0k |
| 08-04 21:10 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.208 | $1.4k |
| 08-04 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.74 | $150.49 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.054 | $7.02 |
| 08-04 14:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 08-04 14:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $395.00 |
| 08-04 14:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.053 | $16.01 |