PolyBot

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Traders

theitaliangoat

0x217ab24700da222475b51c720d4e92fb61e086db

Realised P&L
$0.10
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$7.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.9000.895$1.1k−$5.91
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9460.940$794.57−$5.43
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? · No0.8770.845$578.04−$21.96
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.9620.956$497.01−$2.99
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.9530.945$396.51−$3.49
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.9570.935$390.95−$9.05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.9320.945$304.09+$4.09
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.955$298.44−$1.56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9500.945$298.42−$1.58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8400.840$200.00+$0.00
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9500.935$196.84−$3.16
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.9000.885$196.67−$3.33
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9400.955$101.60+$1.60
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.925$100.54+$0.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9730.973$99.95−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 18:53Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.8999999928$100.00
10-05 18:53Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.95$200.00
10-05 18:42Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.8999999982$300.00
10-05 17:00Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9640718537$20.00
10-05 16:46Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9769999555$20.00
10-05 16:46Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
10-05 16:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSELL0.999$5.10
10-05 16:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.9779999977$5.00
10-05 16:35Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.8999999962$95.00
10-05 16:34Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9$99.00
10-05 16:34Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.973$99.00
10-05 16:34Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.9679999995$45.00
10-05 16:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.95$10.00
10-05 16:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.95$90.00
10-05 16:32UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.9800278116$25.00