bravelittleguy
0x1d66d98518f21288355bbc6455c5ad29b4a3928f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $973.9k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $18.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$850.21at 0.776Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$690.31at 0.881Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$667.53at 0.990Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$408.57at 0.839US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$399.00at 0.600US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.8899999847 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 14:58 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July? | BUY | 0.899730081 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 18:58 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6099999949 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 18:57 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $23.61 |
| 08-01 18:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? | SELL | 0.978223529 | $1.0k |
| 07-28 18:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7829999972 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 18:40 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8549871831 | $1000.00 |
| 07-28 18:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.9521425507 | $1.3k |
| 07-28 18:23 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 07-28 18:22 | Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $60.00 |
| 07-28 18:00 | Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.89 | $43.65 |
| 07-28 17:59 | Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.6041466667 | $181.24 |
| 07-28 17:02 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.993 | $251.97 |
| 07-28 16:45 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.75 |
| 07-27 17:05 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8509999995 | $1000.00 |