PolyBot

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Traders

bravelittleguy

0x1d66d98518f21288355bbc6455c5ad29b4a3928f

Realised P&L
$-192.94
Volume
$1.01M
Markets traded
237
Open portfolio
$20.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded237
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8520.957$10.9k+$1.2k
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9800.998$3.4k+$59.39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9520.965$1.3k+$17.02
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.8800.958$1.1k+$93.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · No0.9130.930$941.04+$17.23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8460.915$659.14+$49.50
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9120.925$607.91+$8.46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8360.865$575.14+$19.12
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.605$243.84$86.55
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.9130.990$103.73+$8.07
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · No0.7650.915$59.78+$9.78
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? · No0.9200.955$51.90+$1.90
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.9300.859$17.17$1.43
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.006$11.90$18.67
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0150.004$0.40$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$500.00
09-14 16:03Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
09-10 16:37Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.989$494.50
09-09 01:02Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$500.00
08-28 02:27Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$45.06
08-28 02:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8894156397$2.5k
08-28 02:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?SELL0.968$1.2k
08-19 01:00Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$230.39
08-19 01:00Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.64$150.00
08-19 00:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999988$500.00
08-19 00:51Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.984432429$1.9k
08-13 22:05Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.543931053$223.10
08-12 05:45Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.1017835052$49.37
08-12 05:37Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.105$1.57
08-11 19:22Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?SELL0.9575349339$1.2k