PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bravelittleguy

0x1d66d98518f21288355bbc6455c5ad29b4a3928f

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$973.9k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$18.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8200.886$5.5k+$413.87
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9110.925$1.5k+$23.23
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9740.978$1.5k+$4.78
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8360.855$1.4k+$29.92
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9520.957$1.3k+$6.43
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9590.963$1.2k+$5.43
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.8800.885$1.1k+$6.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? · No0.9650.979$1.0k+$14.35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · No0.9130.945$959.79+$32.52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.8140.880$892.22+$66.48
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No0.9660.987$665.81+$13.52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9400.963$616.51+$14.73
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8460.855$615.91+$6.28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7600.595$244.05$67.52
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July? · No0.9000.930$103.36+$3.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 05:31Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.8899999847$50.00
08-03 14:58Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July?BUY0.899730081$100.00
08-01 18:58Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6099999949$30.00
08-01 18:57Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.53$23.61
08-01 18:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?SELL0.978223529$1.0k
07-28 18:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7829999972$200.00
07-28 18:40Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8549871831$1000.00
07-28 18:40Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.9521425507$1.3k
07-28 18:23Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.53$26.50
07-28 18:22Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.7699999933$60.00
07-28 18:00Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.89$43.65
07-28 17:59Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.6041466667$181.24
07-28 17:02Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.993$251.97
07-28 16:45Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.992$29.75
07-27 17:05Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8509999995$1000.00