PolyBot

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Traders

0x1cda47a052b7552bd848565b320c0e819fa7cee7

0x1cda47a052b7552bd848565b320c0e819fa7cee7

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$27.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0540.033$5.54−$3.46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.125$5.00−$5.00
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1000.046$3.23−$3.77
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$3.09+$0.09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0580.061$2.12+$0.12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1890.032$1.83−$9.17
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1400.021$1.54−$8.46
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.004$1.17+$0.17
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0800.045$1.13−$0.88
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.010$1.11+$0.11
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0540.028$1.01−$0.99
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0370.005$0.15−$0.85
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0230.002$0.06−$0.94
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.05$1.00
10-05 21:20Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.1$2.00
10-02 00:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 2?BUY0.0165434021$1.00
10-02 00:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
10-02 00:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.16$1.00
10-02 00:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-27 00:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
09-27 00:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0346534652$1.00
09-26 00:42Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$2.00
09-26 00:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 28?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-22 23:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 23?BUY0.2048592197$3.00
09-22 23:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-22 23:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1$1.00
09-21 20:51Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?BUY0.0459999988$1.00
09-21 20:51Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?BUY0.3809999878$5.00