PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nopeyoucantseeme

0x1ca72b41f3922b4466305f8a80cdc24c99ab6512

Realised P&L
$74.76
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
361
Open portfolio
$110.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded361
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9560.980$14.69+$0.35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8940.981$9.80+$0.86
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.9700.977$9.77+$0.07
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.966$9.65+$0.35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8800.905$9.05+$0.25
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9951.000$5.00+$0.02
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9400.992$4.96+$0.26
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9350.991$4.95+$0.28
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.989$4.94+$0.13
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9500.987$4.93+$0.18
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9620.982$4.91+$0.10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7900.972$4.86+$0.91
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Nothing0.9300.969$4.84+$0.19
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9410.959$4.79+$0.09
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · No0.9200.915$4.58−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 00:11Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?BUY0.87$4.35
10-26 05:49Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?BUY0.92$4.60
05-13 02:50Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.92$4.60
05-13 02:50Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.6$1.00
05-11 00:43Sabres vs. CanadiensBUY0.88$4.40
05-10 20:55Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?BUY0.976$4.88
05-10 20:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.98$4.90
05-10 20:53Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?SELL0.973$9.73
05-10 20:52Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.69$3.45
05-09 12:50LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$0.14
05-09 12:42LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.98$15.05
05-09 12:41Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.9099996609$2.12
05-09 12:26LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8899998072$3.00
05-09 12:26LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$14.62
05-09 11:51LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.95$10.00