PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0pc0p

0x1c42f6e9fc998637835f631607255674b31d213b

Realised P&L
$-533.94
Volume
$148.3k
Markets traded
755
Open portfolio
$86.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded755
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.5670.954$15.58+$6.32
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.0500.772$15.05+$14.08
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6400.935$14.73+$4.65
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8480.983$14.49+$1.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6820.835$7.68+$1.41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6500.865$5.54+$1.38
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.4600.615$3.08+$0.78
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.065$2.94$9.71
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0130.048$1.45+$1.05
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0060.003$1.34$1.72
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2700.036$1.30$8.28
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? · No0.5000.930$1.13+$0.52
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? · No0.5000.996$1.00+$0.50
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0120.001$0.27$6.18
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0070.001$0.21$2.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 18:25Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.11
08-26 15:32Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 12:17Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 11:26Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 11:00Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 10:46Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 10:44Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 10:42Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 09:13Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 09:10Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 08:07Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 08:05Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 08:02Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 03:47Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00
08-26 03:26Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$0.00