0x1bcb1bb4b32e3897684dfd81c354cff6c91a435c
- Realised P&L
- $51.88
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 225
- Open portfolio
- $42.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded225
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.70at 0.428US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$28.84at 0.994MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$23.68at 0.076Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
- +$14.68at 0.450Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
- +$14.14at 0.226Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0959999194 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 00:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 00:09 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.67 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 06:12 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699997866 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |