PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1bcb1bb4b32e3897684dfd81c354cff6c91a435c

Realised P&L
$51.88
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$42.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1570.130$4.15$0.85
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2480.265$3.20+$0.20
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9660.973$3.02+$0.02
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.3600.965$2.68+$1.68
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7240.835$2.39+$0.32
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2700.300$2.23+$0.23
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.8770.885$2.02+$0.02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1650.075$1.82$2.18
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0230.029$1.26+$0.26
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8301.000$1.20+$0.20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.7800.930$1.19+$0.19
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.3890.231$1.19$0.81
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · No0.6200.715$1.15+$0.15
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.5740.210$1.10$1.90
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7000.765$1.09+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-18 00:14NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-07 00:50China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
09-07 00:41Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-07 00:40China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0959999194$1.00
08-24 00:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9709999981$1.00
08-15 00:09Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-07 00:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-04 04:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 22:45Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.99799901$1.00
08-03 12:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$1.67
08-03 11:14Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-02 06:12Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-01 20:41US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9699997866$1.00
08-01 20:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00