Outsmarter
0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b
- Realised P&L
- $75.0k
- Volume
- $927.7k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $75.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.2kat 0.271Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
- +$5.3kat 0.421Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.630Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$3.7kat 0.329Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.509US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:23 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $365.00 |
| 10-31 18:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.09 |
| 10-31 18:21 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.0103907431 | $7.89 |
| 10-31 18:11 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $105.00 |
| 10-28 19:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2615767403 | $797.76 |
| 10-28 19:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $342.46 |
| 10-26 23:10 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8679999995 | $300.00 |
| 10-26 20:28 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.680485093 | $300.00 |
| 10-24 20:13 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.69 |
| 10-24 20:12 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8878017014 | $300.00 |
| 10-24 20:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-21 20:32 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.25 |
| 10-21 20:32 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.25 |
| 10-21 20:32 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.25 |
| 10-21 20:31 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.25 |