PolyBot

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Traders

maobuyi66

0x19be16169f8d6a8a4bceb9103254dc2ee1c1c270

Realised P&L
$67.59
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$454.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3730.915$214.79+$127.09
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.945$67.57+$8.24
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6890.905$40.27+$9.60
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.895$26.85+$0.45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.6320.865$23.36+$6.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? · No0.3901.000$15.00+$9.15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.4000.815$12.22+$6.22
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · No0.7900.935$9.35+$1.45
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · No0.6150.927$9.27+$3.12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.7600.955$8.60+$1.75
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.7500.915$5.49+$0.99
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · No0.6991.000$5.08+$1.53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6600.046$3.91$51.53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.290$3.48$2.76
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.7390.875$3.27+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-26 10:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.71$4.26
04-26 10:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.71$4.26
04-26 10:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.71$4.26
04-26 01:14Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.56
04-26 01:14Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.56
04-26 01:14Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.56
04-26 01:10Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$3.10
04-26 01:10Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$3.10
04-26 01:10Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$3.10
04-25 22:37Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.24
04-25 22:37Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$0.88
04-25 21:41Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$1.60
04-25 18:08Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$1.95
04-25 18:08Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$1.95
04-25 11:59Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?SELL0.954$19.08