maobuyi66
0x19be16169f8d6a8a4bceb9103254dc2ee1c1c270
- Realised P&L
- $67.59
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $454.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.53at 0.792US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
- +$41.47at 0.666Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$39.68at 0.722Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$25.36at 0.627Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
- +$23.11at 0.633Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 10:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 04-26 10:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 04-26 10:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 04-26 01:14 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 04-26 01:14 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 04-26 01:14 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 04-26 01:10 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 04-26 01:10 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 04-26 01:10 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 04-25 22:37 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 04-25 22:37 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $0.88 |
| 04-25 21:41 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 04-25 18:08 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 04-25 18:08 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 04-25 11:59 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $19.08 |