0x1845a4a43b38d6906ccf65f5cd4797e4f3ce50c9
0x1845a4a43b38d6906ccf65f5cd4797e4f3ce50c9
- Realised P&L
- $10.15
- Volume
- $330.90
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $9.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.390US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 01:46 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:47 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 20:32 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:16 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |