Forfunzies
0x16c837519a03dae2061954cbf5fd328cfe6dcb07
- Realised P&L
- $975.30
- Volume
- $86.8k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.87at 0.043Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?
- +$149.60at 0.733US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$140.29at 0.831Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
- +$120.88at 0.848Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$103.96at 0.823Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 12:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 08-15 16:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 08-15 16:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $585.60 |
| 07-24 06:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 07-10 07:57 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.832 | $83.20 |
| 07-04 11:16 | OPEC dissolves in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 07-04 11:13 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 07-04 11:11 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 06-23 21:53 | Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | BUY | 0.909 | $187.25 |
| 06-20 21:23 | Megaquake by June 30? | SELL | 0.042 | $4.20 |
| 06-11 21:21 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | BUY | 0.956 | $108.73 |
| 06-11 21:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 06-11 21:18 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 06-07 13:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $38.09 |
| 06-07 13:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $60.32 |