0x151fb0fa3de68a7f707a28bbb1f7788efaba2423
0x151fb0fa3de68a7f707a28bbb1f7788efaba2423
- Realised P&L
- $7.82
- Volume
- $296.21
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:06 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:28 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 06:59 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:45 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:04 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:11 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3759999248 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 05:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:05 | Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |