0x13c177cB15290fe5463280733b2610DF7EBf7C2F-1767606297257
0x13c177cb15290fe5463280733b2610df7ebf7c2f
- Realised P&L
- $-140.15
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $176.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.94at 0.145Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?
- +$33.02at 0.603Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$28.12at 0.124Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
- +$22.26at 0.497Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$14.05at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:38 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:37 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.119047619 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 06:37 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1047619042 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 06:37 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 06:37 | Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 06:36 | Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | BUY | 0.0303921567 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:36 | Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:35 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:35 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799998674 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 06:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 06:34 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 19:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.071322759 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 19:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 19:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 19:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |