PolyBot

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Traders

Geniosa

0x112886182ed9783bf62555fa01a991cf7dc9d57e

Realised P&L
$34.65
Volume
$36.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$41.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0080.007$24.07−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21? · Yes0.0900.100$8.74+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? · Yes0.3600.330$8.25−$0.75
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$18.99
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$12.87
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$4.23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$3.31
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$25.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ET · Down0.0670.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$5.60
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A · 9z0.0020.000$0.00−$4.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 03:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?BUY0.36$9.00
10-20 03:58Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21?BUY0.09$4.05
10-16 19:06Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.003$3.00
10-16 00:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ETBUY0.02$2.00
10-15 23:54Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.0048465559$13.00
10-15 14:27Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group ABUY0.001$2.00
10-15 13:02Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.013$4.78
10-15 12:59Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
10-14 21:01Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0068215732$4.80
10-14 20:59Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.0026683401$4.23
10-13 21:07Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.008941033$10.00
10-13 21:06Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.01$5.00
10-01 22:30Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.007$9.71
09-19 21:18Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.003$19.00
08-02 10:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$2.31