Geniosa
0x112886182ed9783bf62555fa01a991cf7dc9d57e
- Realised P&L
- $34.65
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $41.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.49at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 10-20 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.05 |
| 10-16 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 23:54 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0048465559 | $13.00 |
| 10-15 14:27 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 13:02 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $4.78 |
| 10-15 12:59 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 21:01 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0068215732 | $4.80 |
| 10-14 20:59 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.0026683401 | $4.23 |
| 10-13 21:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.008941033 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 21:06 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 22:30 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.71 |
| 09-19 21:18 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $19.00 |
| 08-02 10:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.31 |